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Biotech / Medical : Tanox. (TNOX)

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From: tuck4/12/2007 1:47:46 PM
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This is one dead board. TNOX to be munched by DNA soon for $20. Deal contains clause in which material risk to Xolair sales gives DNA an out. This might have happened given the recent label warning added. But Xolair nevertheless performed OK in the last 3 months. DNA's earnings PR, out yesterday, shows Xolair revenues increasing from $95 million in 1Q06 to $111 million in 1Q07, a 17% increase. This is, however, down sequentially from $117 million in 4Q06. The stock is off a bit despite the rally in the market, and the arbitrage spread is 6.7% with the stock at $18.75 and about a month to go till closing.

I think that's good risk/reward, as I think the numbers we're seeing will not scuttle the deal.

Cheers, Tuck
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