LEO MSS woes may push LEO broadband out of the skies (Satellite International, 02-25-00)
(Thanks to Phillips Telecon)
Jeff Vayda
The spectacular failure of LEO MSS projects to live up to expectations has also relegated broadband LEO's to second priority for funding, according to Merrill Lynch VP Tom Watts. But a GEO system, with its lower startup costs, and ability to be taken global step-by-step, is more appealing than the upfront global investment in a LEO system. Even though a LEO system is more cost-effective than GEO if operating at capacity, in small markets - GEO becomes the choice. Watts expects that once GEO systems have proven the market for broadband as they come online beginning in 2001/2002, money will become available for the riskier LEOs, but this causes significant delays. Among the LEO systems, SkyBridge, led by Alcatel, seems to be proceeding farther than Teledesic. [But see last Friday's story on Eagle River Investments folding ICO Global into the Teledesic project.] However, both Alcatel and SkyBridge's key U.S. backer Loral, are now working on the CyberStar GEO hybrid Ka/Ku-band venture. The U.S. internet/data-via-satellite business in the next few years will become croded with players like DirecTV, Echostar, Gilat-to-Home, iSky, Spaceway, CyberStar, Astrolink and NetSat 28. (Not available on the web) |