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Biotech / Medical : A Biotech Bash - Recs and Wrecks

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To: scaram(o)uche who wrote (118)9/2/1997 2:28:00 PM
From: Henry Niman   of 171
 
Rick, I wouldn't put LGND's performance since the winter of '96 in the "reltively dismal" category. LGND has had a somwhat ossilating chart since then. If you mean the beginning of '96, LGND had a nice run up to its all time high of 19 3/4 which it hit in the spring. If you want to start from its all time high back then and compare that to its current price, then the move of course has not been stellar. However, LGND's price a few months earlier (in Novemeber of 1995) was below 8, so LGND's performance is largely dependent on your entry point around that time. Similarly, if the winter of '96 means the end of '96, then LGND has had a decent move from its low of 11. If you mean Jan 1, then LGND's move for this year is currently flat (although as you noted in your post to Andrew, LGND did have a "quiet period" a few months ago when it fell to 9 1/8 and I was using caps at that time to shout about its absurdly low price).

Of course, most investors would prefer a steady climb like AGPH. That hasn't happened yet to LGND. However, I do think that the upcoming announcements (as well as the past couple) will lead to a sustainable move and LGND's ossilating chart of the past couple of years will be a distant memory.

I do think that the upcoming diabetes deal will still have a rather significant impact on LGND's price as well as the rest of the sector. The company's pipeline is incredible, and I think that the street is beginning to catch on.
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