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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum

GLD 398.89

+0.1%

Dec 30 4:00 PM EST

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (123757)	11/2/2016 4:51:01 PM
From: bart13	Read Replies (1) of 218863

I wonder if 2008 could have even happened with the yield curve where it has been in place this entire time plus gas prices in the low $2 range for the term?? We got serious overbuilding in of high end condo markets in may gateway cities urban core. That seems to be the big asset bubble now along with the new horsemen of NASDAQ, sovereign debt, cap rates on institutional grade real estate, auto loans, student loans, healthcare costs to GDP and corporate debt moving down the food chain? So in many cases far worse already than 2008 but residential RE debt levels are lower.. Question is can it collapse if current trends in rates and gas prices? Probably another $4-5 trillion needs to be added to debt levels for RE before it happens IMHO. Probably not with the yield curve where it is and $2 gas, plus the Fed & Feds not being very concerned. The huge concerns about Trump and the freaked out (& the "establishment" bubble since Truman first called it that in 1947-8) establishment sure stands a chance of going there, along with all the other things you mentioned sue could upset their apple cart. 2 out of 5 of my crash indicators are getting close to firing too... and most of the real causes of the 2008 GFC like derivatives having not been fully addressed or controlled/effectively regulated are still quite alive & well... Pollyannas notwithstanding. -ng- The current political messes sure are affecting CONfidence... And although it's not necessary, we should have at least a decent spike up in RE before any price hit occurs.

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