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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace
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To: AllansAlias who wrote (12678)9/10/2001 8:16:25 AM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (1) of 209892
 
>>would almost certainly lead to depression, social unrest, famine, and likely, war<<

Good morning, Allan. <ggg>

FWIW, the only Great Bears in U.S. history that I know of - 1857 and 1929 (do the math - every 72 years) - have coincided with 10% drops in GDP. Seems unimaginable, doesn't it? Although I guess that kind of wealth destruction would be more likely after the kind of bull run we've had. The pattern seems to be a 45% drop, a 50% rally (think 1973-1975), and then the real damage occurs.

Have a nice day. ;-)
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