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Strategies & Market Trends : Sharck Soup

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To: Sharck who started this subject3/28/2001 10:41:02 AM
From: besttrader   of 37746
 
From Prudentbear: As I have struggled to figure out the count on this wave and we have been doing all kinds of retracement figures, there has been nothing to retrace. Any of you that are familiar with Elliott Wave theory at all will realize right away how bearish this chart is. The Dow did the exact same thing and as you may see, we got almost exactly back to the highs of last Tuesday before close. The futures immediately imploded to the downside and the bond market is sending a signal that anyone with any sense knows there is a capital emergency in the United States right now, one like you would see in Brazil. I expect a crash immediately and we will see the worst of it in a few days. This will be seen as a retracement at first, but markets don't turn down immediately at close like
this if something isn't going on. The public was being bilked out of their last free dollar today and the bull will die a brutal death in the next week. This one will close the markets. Maybe we get a rally after the downturn in the morning to conclude the last fraction of this retracement, but I consider it complete here and would sleep with my life savings short. The Dow moved in 3 literally equal moves up and that completes 5 waves of c. One look at this chart tells the same story. I don't know if you guys realize or not the downward force it takes to throw a c wave that far in the direction of the trend, but I would say that is probably a 4.23 times move. I have been searching for the subwaves that would make wave 3 complete and they just weren't there. I traded this type wave in 1998 and the moves were 25 or so S&P points and that market fell 350 points in an hour when it broke out of one. This one is 4 times as strong. I have the hand drawn chart to prove it.
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