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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club
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To: Robert321 who wrote (14659)6/22/2000 2:10:00 PM
From: Math Junkie   of 15132
 
I haven't checked, but if, as you say, "his market timing prowess did not beat the Wilshire 5000 since he began his model portfolio", then that is certainly worth knowing. However, it is important to note that the period in question does not include a bear market, so it is an incomplete picture.

In order to do a valid assessment of a market strategy which seeks to protect against the risk of bear markets, it seems obvious that we need to do it over a time period which includes some bear markets. So far, all we have had is one almost-bear market (in 1998), and one stagnation period which may or may not turn into a bear market (now).
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