MARKET TALK: Allied Irish Has More Explaining To Do
07 Feb 12:52
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 12:51 (Dow Jones) Allied Irish Banks (AIB) will continue to pay a penalty in the markets until management exactly quantifies its losses, says Steve Hussey, vice president, fixed income, Allied Capital, London. The bank will also have to "assuage investor concerns about its risk management and internal controls," he added. Investors will be looking to the company's earnings reports and the outcome of an S&P review of the bank, which is expected to take about a month.
S&P has placed the bank's single-A-plus rating on CreditWatch Negative, while Moody's Investors Service and Fitch Ratings have affirmed the bank's ratings of Aa3 and double-A-minus, respectively. AIB shares up 4% to $20.58 after steep selloff Wednesday. (MCG) 12:40 (Dow Jones) Aflac (AFL) decided not to make a splash at the Super Bowl with its latest commercial featuring the infamous Aflac duck, instead opting for a more diverse audience Friday at the opening ceremony of the Winter Olympics. Dan Amos, chairman and chief executive, said the insurer hasn't advertised on professional football telecasts for several years after a change in broadcast contracts eliminated in-game trivia questions - a feature Aflac sponsors on college football and baseball telecasts. Amos expects the latest commercial to be a hit - it posted the highest score of any of the commercials, so far, in consumer testing. The concept: the Aflac duck and a group of school children visit the museum. (CUB) 12:28 (Dow Jones) Even if Thursday's rally in stocks holds up for the entire session, "yesterday's poor market performance betrays an underlying weakness which is likely to severely limit the potential of any near-term rally attempts," says Halliard Lyons technician Dick Dickson. Meanwhile, gold stocks sold off on heavy volume Wednesday, calling into question their recent breakout. None has yet violated key support levels, so if volume dries up on a further test, the breakouts may still be validated. (TG) 12:16 (Dow Jones) Mexican stocks are soaring after S&P raised the country's foreign credit rating to investment grade. Investors have been waiting two years for S&P to join competitor Moody's in its assessment. Mexico's key IPC index is up 1.9%. (ADG) 12:07 (Dow Jones) ManTech International (MANT) is up after its IPO, a jump analysts say should be expected for a defense contractor in a time of war.
"Defense companies fare better in a climate such as this as opposed to when people are singing 'Where Have All The Flowers Gone,"' says John Fitzgibbon Jr., an analyst with IPODesktop. (RJH) 11:51 (Dow Jones) PIMCO is not actually predicting any rate hikes by the Fed at any point in the next six months. A research piece by Bill Gross simply says that by keeping fed funds low, it is impairing longer dated rates' ability to fall, and hurting recovery prospects. (MSD) 11:37 (Dow Jones) Digene (DIGE) better by 4.3%. Goldman calls reported 2Q results solid, with sales momentum continuing in HPV tests. Gross margins much stronger than Goldman expected in quarter, and valuation still attractive.
Goldman also says several milestones should help the shares in near-term, including a potential FDA panel review of the DNA-Pap for primary cervical cancer screening. Keeps outperform rating. Shares up 91c at $22.47. (TG) 11:24 (Dow Jones) Health care deals aren't in favor among IPO investors this year. First Alliance Medical postponed its deal, which was to be the first of the year. Then, last week, drug maker Zymogenetics (ZGEN) priced its deal low and now trades 23% below its offering price in just four trading days. Now, another drug company, NeoGenesis, has cut price terms on its deal, expected after the close. Instead of selling its 6.2 million shares at between $12 and $14, talk is now $9 to $10. (RJH) 11:12 (Dow Jones) BB&T (BBT) expects to post net income of $1.3 billion, or $2.82 a diluted share, for 2002 and capital expenditures of $255 million during the year. BB&T earned $1.1 billion in 2001, or $2.40 a share. BB&T said it expects to spend $157 million of the anticipated $255 million in capital expenditures on facilities, $64 million on furniture and $34 million on software. Shares up 2.5% at $35.33. (DH) 11:01 (Dow Jones) Unsecured creditors to bankrupt Global Crossing (GBLXQ) could recover 9% of face value in a best case scenario and 2% in a worst case scenario, according to DebtTraders, an independent research firm. DebtTraders analysts have a "sell" rating on the bonds, which closed last night at around 4 cents on the dollar. (JD) 10:52 (Dow Jones) Techs have been consistently, and mildly, weak Thursday, while the Dow is on a seesaw. Cisco is weighing on overall tech sector, and IBM is at bottom of DJIA. Financials are looking a little better - always a plus - and wireless is getting a rare bounce. Wall Street anxious to hear what Enron officials have to say, but the pods seem more anxious to hear themselves talk.
The Street will also be looking to see what the close brings - it hasn't been pretty all week. DJIA up 33 at 9686, Nasdaq off 13 to 1799, and S&P 500 flat at 1083. (TG) 10:42 (Dow Jones) Hewlett-Packard (HWP) has scheduled for Thursday a second meeting with company retirees to seek support for the company's merger with Compaq Computer (CPQ). "We realize that there is still some concern about H-P's ability to complete the merger successfully, and we appreciate your willingness to hear our position and to challenge us with your questions," H-P CEO Carly Fiorina wrote in a letter to H-P and Agilent retirees. "Your feedback has been valuable in organizing a second meeting..." Agilent was spun off from Hewlett-Packard in 1999. Hewlett-Packard held a meeting with about 300 retirees Jan. 7. About two-thirds of those attending filled out a survey after the meeting, and 70% of those said they were "somewhat" or "very" supportive of the merger, according to company statements. H-P up 1.1% at $21.10. (BS) 10:32 (Dow Jones) Banc of America Securities analyst Leonard Yaffe cut his rating on Pharmacia (PHA) to market performer from strong buy, citing slowing growth of the drug maker's key medicines. "The key drugs in the aggregate grew 30% in the first quarter of 2001, exited 2001 growing 19%, and we anticipate the key products to exit 2002 at a 12% pace," says Yaffe. Shares off 3% at $36.80. (BMM) 10:20 (Dow Jones) NBTY received a partial settlement of $5.47 million from some defendants in a vitamin price fixing litigation. NBTY received the settlement in January from some defendants, which it didn't identify, and said it is currently holding negotiations with other defendants. NBTY previously has said it is a plaintiff in vitamin antitrust litigation brought in a U.S.
District Court in Washington, D.C., against F. Hoffman-LaRoche Ltd. (Z.ROC) and others for price fixing. Some of the defendants have pleaded guilty in criminal cases arising from the price fixing. Shares off 1.9% at $14.38. (CS) 10:15 (Dow Jones) Words of wisdom may be waiting. Investors interested in how the ad environment is shaping up for 2002 may do well to tune in to Gannett Co.'s (GCI) 11 a.m. conference call. Gannett boss Doug McCorkindale typically delivers a blunt assessment of the economy, and has many pieces of information at his disposal. As the nation's biggest newspaper publisher, Gannett can talk reliably about ad spending from retailers, auto makers, and other sectors.
What's more, Gannett's tracking of classifieds might tell you something about the job market. Company did not offer any earnings guidance in its 4Q earnings report, but perhaps something more might emerge on the call. (BS) 10:07 (Dow Jones) The Dow Jones-Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi business barometer roseby 0.5% in the week ended Jan. 26 on both a one-week and smoothed basis.
This was the fifth straight week of increase in the smoothed barometer, which is an indicator of coincident economic activity and a strong sign that the economy is recovering. (JM) 10:03 (Dow Jones) American Express (AXP) said its businesses are better equipped to weather economic and market swings -- but analysts maintain their "show-me" stance on the stock. Analysts Moshe Orenbuch at CSFB and Brad Ball at Pru maintained their hold ratings on the shares after AmEx's semi-annual analyst meeting late Wednesday. Orenbuch believes the company lost ground to its peers last year, while Ball said "its ability to sustain or improve its operating margin and grow revenues with a lower risk profile remains in question." Shares off 1.4% at $33.30. (TAS) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 02-07-02 12:52 PM |