MARKET TALK: Is Another Late Selloff In The Cards?
07 Feb 14:44
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 2:44 (Dow Jones) It seems the late-day selling may want to get underway.
Perhaps stocks can hold on? Major averages are well off their highs, and the mild weakness in techs continues. That said, wireless is on top, followed by broadcasting, entertainment and diversified industrial names. Disney, Honeywell, SBC, and JP Morgan on top of DJIA, which is up 31 at 9684. Nasdaq off 7 to 1805, and S&P 500 adds 3 to 1086. (TG) 2:33 (Dow Jones) It's not too often that the head of a company's IR department is the focus of Wall Street research. But ABN-Amro, in brief note, says AOL's appointment of John Martin as VP of investor relations is a positive for company, given his strong industry background and extensive relationships at the company, where he previously spent 7 years. ABN-Amro sees Martin as a highly capable exec who will "be a key ingredient in restoring investor confidence." AOL up 6% at $25.70. (TG) 2:14 (Dow Jones) Reverse mergers - where a private company is acquired by a public company in a move to get a stock listing - has nearly doubled over the past three years, says Makeez Malikzay of Thomson Financial. Such takeover activity between 1999 and 2001 increased to 541 deals worth a total value of $95 billion, up from 287 deals worth a total of $52 billion between 1996 and 1998. And, although overall merger volume fell by half in 2001, reverse mergers posted volume of $77 billion, seven times that of 2000. Most of that volume, however, is due to Comcast's (CMSCK) $72 billion reverse takeover of AT&T's (T) cable business. But even the $5 billion remaining still outpaces the past six years. (JAW) 2:02 (Dow Jones) Amid all of the January same-store sales numbers reported by retailers Thursday, one was conspicuously absent: Kmart's (KM). Having filed for bankruptcy last month, the beleaguered retailer will start filing monthly operating statements to the court "around the end of March," spokesman Jack Ferry says. The company is scheduled to file its 10-K within 90 days of the end of its fiscal year, which was Jan. 30, "unless there is a delay caused by bankruptcy proceedings," Ferry says. Shares up 4.3% at 98c. (JMC) 1:47 (Dow Jones) One of Louise Yamada's biggest technical concerns at the moment is the 'AAA' corporate/Treasury yield spread (the widening gap shows a belief on the part of investors that debt risk is growing, hence a flight to the safety of U.S. Treasurys.) Salomon research shows an uptrend in the yield spread has only taken place during structural bear market environments: 1966-76, 1927-32, and 1938-41. In other words, the uptrending spread is not a characteristic of a structural bull market. And for those who point to the shrinking supply of the long bond, she notes the trend has not remained static since the government took that action but has extended in time and degree. (TG) 1:28 (Dow Jones) The dollar's average monthly trade weighted value rose 1.2% in January from December, the Atlanta Fed said Thursday. Analysts say it probably won't be any lower in Feb. (JRH) 1:14 (Dow Jones) Lehman says wholesale inventories probably fell 0.7% in December, their seventh consecutive monthly retrenchment. Lehman expects the depletion to set up the need for companies to rebuild their inventories in 2002, adding 3.0 percentage points of GDP growth in 1Q. Numbers due out Friday.
(MCG) 12:59 (Dow Jones) Following Household's (HI) investor call earlier, independent research firm CreditSights.com says both the stock and bonds are a buy. It's been beaten down by short-sellers in the wake of Tyco (TYC) woes but doesn't merit the recent liquidity scare. HI up 7.5% at $48.04. (CSE) 12:51 (Dow Jones) Allied Irish Banks (AIB) will continue to pay a penalty in the markets until management exactly quantifies its losses, says Steve Hussey, vice president, fixed income, Allied Capital, London. The bank will also have to "assuage investor concerns about its risk management and internal controls," he added. Investors will be looking to the company's earnings reports and the outcome of an S&P review of the bank, which is expected to take about a month.
S&P has placed the bank's single-A-plus rating on CreditWatch Negative, while Moody's Investors Service and Fitch Ratings have affirmed the bank's ratings of Aa3 and double-A-minus, respectively. AIB shares up 4% to $20.58 after steep selloff Wednesday. (MCG) 12:40 (Dow Jones) Aflac (AFL) decided not to make a splash at the Super Bowl with its latest commercial featuring the infamous Aflac duck, instead opting for a more diverse audience Friday at the opening ceremony of the Winter Olympics. Dan Amos, chairman and chief executive, said the insurer hasn't advertised on professional football telecasts for several years after a change in broadcast contracts eliminated in-game trivia questions - a feature Aflac sponsors on college football and baseball telecasts. Amos expects the latest commercial to be a hit - it posted the highest score of any of the commercials, so far, in consumer testing. The concept: the Aflac duck and a group of school children visit the museum. (CUB) 12:28 (Dow Jones) Even if Thursday's rally in stocks holds up for the entire session, "yesterday's poor market performance betrays an underlying weakness which is likely to severely limit the potential of any near-term rally attempts," says Halliard Lyons technician Dick Dickson. Meanwhile, gold stocks sold off on heavy volume Wednesday, calling into question their recent breakout. None has yet violated key support levels, so if volume dries up on a further test, the breakouts may still be validated. (TG) 12:16 (Dow Jones) Mexican stocks are soaring after S&P raised the country's foreign credit rating to investment grade. Investors have been waiting two years for S&P to join competitor Moody's in its assessment. Mexico's key IPC index is up 1.9%. (ADG) 12:07 (Dow Jones) ManTech International (MANT) is up after its IPO, a jump analysts say should be expected for a defense contractor in a time of war.
"Defense companies fare better in a climate such as this as opposed to when people are singing 'Where Have All The Flowers Gone,"' says John Fitzgibbon Jr., an analyst with IPODesktop. (RJH) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 02-07-02 02:44 PM |