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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 689.52

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Jan 7 4:00 PM EST

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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (18356)	6/23/1999 9:18:00 PM
From: Michael Watkins	Read Replies (1) of 99985

Heinz, I can tell you understood what I meant by my post about the Fed wanting to be proactive. But something you said tweaked my "chicken/egg scenario generator". Michael, the Fed is already reactive inasmuch as it is following where the bond market is leading Does the Fed react to the bond market or does the bond market lead (expect) where the Fed is heading? I've always assumed the latter, but I bet there are situations where one pillar or another may need propping up from time to time, and where the dance leader may vary. 1/2 point? that would sober up the market for sure. Ah, call me a dreamer, call me greedy, just don't call me Al. I figure 1/2 point either all in one nasty flue shot or quarter point now and quarter point at next opportunity. I think time works against them, if they want slack for later deployment - who really knows how Y2K will play out - they need to take it up well before the event. Since I'm in the mood for a big sale I'd love to see .5 this month. Of course, wouldn't you know it, my internet order form for the FOMC-REQUEST-A-RATE seems to be on the fritz! ;)

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