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Biotech / Medical : A Biotech Bash - Recs and Wrecks

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To: scaram(o)uche who wrote (18)8/25/1997 10:11:00 PM
From: Henry Niman   of 171
 
Rick, I expect LGND to begin rewarding investors now. They have quite a slate of announcements and the diabetes deal will transform the company. I expect the deal to help lead the whole sector higher. It has already begun to move on good news and LGND should begin the final stages of product approval. IR is VERY upbeat. I think that the Phase III Panretin data is as it was in Phase II which is approvable.
I expect an NDA near the end of the year and LGND's first product sales (of an in-house drug) to begin next year. Targretin trials are also in the pivotol stage and I expect off label sales in diabetes to be huge (as early as the end of 1998). The diabetes deal will include LARGE up front payments (which will help buy back ALRI and limit dilution). LGND spends a lot and has its fair number of outstanding shares, but its technology is broad as is it pipeline and delivery of clinicals will get the street's attention.

I've predicted 20 by the end of the year and 30 by next summer and think that LGND is on track to meet those projections. Biotechs are getting ready to move up a notch thanks to AGPH and CNTO and I expect the entire sector to benefit from upcomimg news (led by LGND).
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