Robert: Yes, the HK market is very sensitive to US market fluctuations, as you know, especially given that their HK$ is pegged to the US$ and, therefore, at the mercy of our fluctuating interest rates, etc. I still remain quite bullish on Playmates Toys. The price recently rose from HK$1.90 to HK $2.85 in a matter of days. This is a re-tracement of some 50%, something one might expect in the way of a normal correction. Also noteworthy is that when price moves down, it does on diminished volume. Should price fall below HK$2.00, a splendid buying opportunity might arise. After all, Playmates is already at decidedly low levels for a now profitable toy company.
That being said, I am betting that Playmates will surprise the market with final half 1996 results, usually reported come March. Apparently, their "Star Trek" line is doing very well on the heels of the blockbuster movie; the "Primal Rage" toys is still quite strong and selling well. With the exception of "Flash Gordon", other lines are holding their own. Game video sales are good. At Toy Fair in February, Playmates will unveil their toy line based on the hit PBS children's show "Comfy Couch" supposedly more popular than Sesame Street in the Canadian TV market. As noted new "Space Jam" toys will also be unveiled among others, doubtlessly. The wild card, of course, is the Lucas license for the new Star Wars trilogy. Currently, this toy license is yet open, and Playmates is aggressively bidding for it. Should it win that most coveted of licenses, the aftermath would, indeed, be breathtaking. |