2016, Elon Musk made a promise. He promised that, by the end of 2017, a Tesla would be able to drive itself from coast to coast. We’re talking Los Angeles to New York, with no human intervention. So how'd that work out? Badly.
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Great inventers and dreamers often have lofty goals that over way, way, off. Great builders, the same. The Panama Canal required 33 years total to get done, when the French thought it might take six years.
Closer to home, the James Webb Telescope was delayed by something like 15 years.
The Big Dig was estimated at 7 years and took 16, and $20B versus $3B. Early tinkering with incandescent lighting began in 1802 and didn't reach success until 1880. TV took 50 years.
AI concepts were not even in mainstream software development when Musk made that statement.
Do you actually believe he is going to be people on Mars in the next 10 years? Who would even think that?
This is how complex problems of insane difficulty get solved: By people who have a vision and think it can be accomplished if only they throw enough resources and people at it.
If you can't live with such timelines, even the horse-and-buggy era might be difficult for you to accept.
It is a race. And Tesla is winning it. |
