U.S. CEOs hail rate cut, but hold capital spending (Reuters 08/21 13:18:31)
By Julie MacIntosh NEW YORK, Aug 21 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve's quarter-point interest rate cut prompted guarded optimism from Corporate America on Tuesday, but executives said they were still too spooked by the economic downturn to start spending in anticipation of a recovery. Investors had widely expected the cut in the federal funds rate, a benchmark for short-term lending, as part of its campaign to stave off a recession and jump-start the economy. "I don't really feel like we've seen the bottom yet," said Dan DiMicco, chief executive of steelmaker Nucor Corp. <NUE.N>, who does not expect a turnaround in the demand-starved steel industry in the near future. "We're bordering on a recession right now, and this will help keep that from happening." The rate cut marked the Fed's seventh such action this year, and slashed the key federal funds rate to 3.5 percent, its lowest level since March 1994. But corporate heads weren't convinced Tuesday's cuts, which included chopping the discount rate charged to commercial banks, would revive the economy. U.S. corporate earnings this year are expected to show the worst decline in a decade, and the manufacturing and heavy industry sectors have helped lead the collapse in profits. Makers of everything from autos to electronics and computer hardware have struggled since late 2000 to balance inventories with demand, which dropped off more abruptly than many had forecast as their customers' capital spending budgets shrank. Joe Magliochetti, chief executive of Dana Corp.<DCN.N> , said the auto parts maker had seen hints U.S. industrial production could improve in the fourth quarter after dropping about 4.5 percent since it began to slide last summer. Dana's goal to reduce debt has not changed, even though rates are lower and allow it to borrow more cheaply, he said. Magliochetti said Dana would wait a few months for the rate cut to take effect and see whether it boosts consumer confidence and capital spending, along with the federal tax cut.
'DELICATE BALANCE' The interest rate cuts should eventually pull mortgage rates lower and aid the housing market, once they begin to filter into the longer-term debt market, said Laurence Hirsch, chief executive of homebuilder Centex Corp. <CTX.N> "The business is still good, but we really haven't seen the last few rate cuts have any significant impact on mortgage rates," Hirsch said. Is the Fed's rate-slicing jaunt enough? "It's a delicate balance right now that the Fed's wrestling, between cutting rates enough that it has an impact on business and consumer confidence without going too far to ignite inflation," said Garry McGuire, chief financial officer of communications equipment maker Avaya Inc. <AV.N> Retail chain store sales rose modestly during the past week on "back-to-school" sales and extra business generated by federal tax rebates, according to a joint report released on Tuesday from UBS Warburg and the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi. The Fed's previous rate cuts have boosted consumer confidence and taken the edge off an overvalued dollar, said Jerry Tatar, chief executive of paper and office products maker Mead Corp. <MEA.N> While the Fed suggested more rate cuts were a possibility, Tatar said lower rates alone will not prop up the U.S. economy. Inventory surpluses must be corrected, he said, and the market's psychological bruises need time to heal. "To the extent that we can bring interest rates down, that would be a component of it," he said. ((--Julie MacIntosh, New York Equities Newsdesk (646) 223-6000, with reporting by Ben Klayman))
REUTERS
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