Hey Jerry,
If there's a dip in the stock price and you decide to bail out, I believe you will be in agony in the not too distant future. Scan Graphics is just getting started.
I met the company's top people at their shareholders meeting last June. They impressed me, especially CEO Andrew Trolio and Mike Mulshine. At that meeting I acquired valuable insights into where this company is heading. Since that day, a lot of very positive things have happened.
* They've acquired VERY impressive new executive talent. * SCNG became S&P Reports stock of the week - as detailed in post #7 of this board. * They've formed a business alliance with Oracle. * They've formed a business alliance with ESRI. * They got their first mapping contract with the US Forest Service. * The first of a number of software products became available in December. * And now their new COO Larry Osterwise is about to meet with numerous analysts?
In my opinion, it's way too early to sell. This is really a dynamic new company which is at the beginning.
The GIS industry is changing. I attended the OpenGIS Symposium in Washington DC last October to try to further grasp what the company is involved in. My impression is that explosive growth in this industry is nearing. A Netscape speaker compared GIS to the early days of the internet. He said people would look at the internet and say "Oh, look at that - researchers and scientist use it." And nobody could foresee that in only a few short years, a ba-zillion different uses for the net would be invented. He said that's how it's going to be with GIS - a ba-zillion different uses we can't even imagine right now. What's important for this industry to realize that potential is for the OpenGIS Standard to be finalized. Microsoft just recently joined the OpenGIS Consortium as a principal member. I think this recent development improves the chances that the new industry standard can be created. From what I have read, a vote on the final version of this standard is scheduled for May. If that happens, then the real fun should begin. Among the company's wildcards is the middleware they have been developing for the standard. Only the tiniest traces of information about this has been put in news items. It could be huge. I don't know? But, there are also a number of other very positive things the company has going on. Among them, the new Technology Resource Center subsidiary should be starting up soon. Like Sedona, it is expected to become a major business. At the shareholders meeting, they said the years of dramatic growth would be 97 through 99, and I believe them. I am expecting surprises. There have been times when I have guessed correctly that the share price would go down. I considered selling everything, then scooping up my shares at the lower price with a few extra. But I decided the stakes are just too big for me to play that kind of game. There's no way I'm selling anytime soon.
Tomorrow I'm attending a video conference for the Pennsylvania Mapping & Geographic Information Consortium - a new organization that Sedona has some involvement in. If I turn up anything interesting, I'll be glad to report it.
Ed Ryder |