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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 408.76+2.6%Jan 5 4:00 PM EST

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To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (41547)10/19/2008 9:41:43 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) of 219026
 
no clear
time will tell
cannot fathom why she would use this particular thread as first port of call, unless ...
will, in all cases, time will tell

just in in-tray

Is The China Boom Bust?




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This Week In Focus Friday October 17 2008
Goldmans Bullish On Commodity Prices
No surprises - Goldman Sachs' global economics team has downgraded its global growth forecast for 2009 from 3.7% to 3.0% and the commodities team has thus been swung into action for downgrades of its own. The credit crisis is obviously the driver, and the analysts note ongoing uncertainty on the credit front means ongoing downside risk to commodity prices.
But this story has a bullish end.

There are two reasons why commodity prices have fallen as far as they have to date. The first reason is they were too high. If oil is the benchmark, the ridiculous speculative bubble experienced earlier this year is just another example of leverage gone mad and a classic tale of "upside panic".

The bubble burst when it was obvious a point of demand destruction had been reached in the US, and thus there was nothing surprising about the fall back from US$147/bbl to the US$100 level as speculative positions retreated.



Click Here To Read On >

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This Week In Commentary

Oil Price Forecasts Revised Lower
Demand growth for crude is going to slow. Weaker economic conditions are creating a cyclical downturn in the oil market and analysts are lowering their price expectations accordingly.
> Australia Had To Act
> Your Money Is Safe
> Alan Greenspan Lead the Quick Deterioration of the U.S. Economy
> Oil Prices Under $70
> The Aussie Dollar as a Measure of Global Risk Appetite
> Lehman CDS Auction Hammers Resource Stocks



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This Week In News

CSR Guides To A Flat Outcome
Once again CSR has downgraded earnings: the diversified sugar and building products group is a serial offender as now there have been downgrades in each of the last three years.
> NAB Earnings Down
> Woodside, Macarthur Look Up
> Macquarie On Negative Watch
> Ten Earnings Down
> Rio Cools On China; Global Markets Plunge
> Origin Looks At 40% Earnings Gain



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This Week In Broker Updates

Crane Group Warns On Earnings
With economic conditions worsening in Australia corporate earnings are increasingly coming under pressure and Crane Group has joined the list of companies to downgrade earnings guidance as a result.
> TEN - Merrill Lynch rates the stock as Underperform
> QAN - Merrill Lynch rates the stock as Upgrade to Neutral
> SGP - Citi rates the stock as Sell, Medium Risk
> CSL - Merrill Lynch rates the stock as Buy, Medium Risk
> SUN - Merrill Lynch rates the stock as Neutral, Medium Risk
> TLS - Merrill Lynch rates the stock as Buy




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