VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC)

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To: Pallisard who wrote (4535)	10/25/1998 5:59:00 PM
From: FMK	of 27311

Pallisard,I don't remember estimating quite that high. I remember working some numbers, however, and estimating laptop earnings at $1 per shift. I would not be surprised if line 1 can break the company even at 2000 per day and will turn out over 8000 good batteries per day. If the first 2000 break the company even, and profits must equal the burn rate of say $18 million per year, then each additional 2000 batteries should be able to earn another $18 million or about $25 profit each etc. Overall, I feel its safer to keep initial estimates at around $1 per line and to chalk it up as a pleasant surprise when it turns out higher. After all, 3 lines totaling $3 per share earnings is as big a number many would be willing to believe, until shown otherwise! We may have to endure being ridiculed if our estimates were too low, but I expect we will cope!

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