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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...?

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To: jack rand who wrote (4976)10/9/1997 2:42:00 PM
From: jack rand   of 13594
 
FY98 Consensus has been $0.87 going back to June.

Q1 earnings were $0.09 "after adjustments".

Deals announced in past three months
(since amazon, CUC, etc late June/early Jul)

mil/yr
Onsale 0.4
N2k 6
Preview travel 6
Amer greetings 1
----
$13.4/116m shares = $0.12 +$0.09 = $0.21

Only $0.66 left to go in three quarters to make $0.87.
Q2 (sep) concensus is $0.12 (reflecting amazon, CUC, 1-800 Flowers);
Q3 (dec) $0.16.

$0.09+$0.12+$0.16= $0.37. That says Q4 has to be $0.49
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