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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Taikun who wrote (53258)9/12/2004 6:52:15 AM
From: TobagoJack   of 74559
 
Hello David, <<... the speculation in the Yuan is taking place now, as foreign investors invest in enterprises in China>>

... started middle of last year, and so far, a failed speculation.

<<... are the FDI transactions done in the more easily convertible USD or Yuan?>>

... USD into China, conversion into RMB by PBOC.

<<IF USD-based FDI>> ... meaning there is a lot of RMB in the Chinese Economic system, in private hands, and a lot of USD in PBOC hand.

But PBOC USD is mostly in the form of Treasuries and a bit of Agencies already.

If private hands want USD back, and do not wish to hold RMB, then ... well, you know, or can guess, and even better, imagine ...

<<It is more a buy the rumor sell the fact play than I first thought>>

... precisely.

Chugs, Jay
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