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Technology Stocks : Warren Buffett

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To: Andrew who wrote (49)3/31/1997 4:34:00 PM
From: Lars   of 82
 
andrew,

speak of the......happy meal......ck out fortune april 14, 1997 pages 196 - 198......

summary:

-buffett will not talk about mcd holding
-past behavior provides clues
-looks hard at risk/reward tradeoff
-"you pay a high price for certainty"
-neuberger mgr says similar to coke purchase in 80s
-59%op income from abroad
-projected 20% increase yrly
-4800 in last 4 yrs overseas
-36 new countries
-in france 4 times size of nearest competitor
-in germany 12 times "
-in fastest growth rate in 20 yrs in 1996 for intl store base
-80% of mcd overseas income from 7 countries
-china and russia are huge untapped markets with franchisees on waiting lists (potential)
-germany could handle addl 1000 mcds in addition to 743 now
-appetite for big macs among foreigners is voracious
-past december in minsk opened at midnight had to call police b/c 4000 people showed up
-avg overseas sales $2.2MM per unit vs. $1.5 usa
-profit margins overseas 19.8% vs. 16.5%
-invesco mgr still concerned with domestic; vintage buffett comes in and scoops the bargain; coke had pepsi domestically in 80s but no one cared about overseas dominance
-mcd is available at market multiple

fwiw,
lars
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