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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis

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To: Sam who wrote (56759)	7/1/2012 12:15:31 PM
From: Sam	1 Recommendation of 95683

The latest from Doug Short on ECRI's indicators and recession call: Recession Status: DEFCON 3 businessinsider.com Many charts and links are in the post, so I am not going to post it here. As well as this note at the end of the article: Note: How to Calculate the Growth series from the Weekly Leading Index ECRI's weekly Excel spreadsheet includes the WLI and the Growth series, but the latter is a series of values without the underlying calculations. After a collaborative effort by Franz Lischka, Georg Vrba, Dwaine van Vuuren and Kishor Bhatia to model the calculation, Georg discovered the actual formula in a 1999 article published by Anirvan Banerji, the Chief Research Officer at ECRI: The three Ps: simple tools for monitoring economic cycles - pronounced, pervasive and persistent economic indicators. Here is the formula: "MA1" = 4 week moving average of the WLI "MA2" = moving average of MA1 over the preceding 52 weeks "n"= 52/26.5 "m"= 100 *WLIg = [m(MA1/MA2)^n] – m** Read more: advisorperspectives.com

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