Is Missouri Still in Play?
swingstateproject.com
Wednesday, October 06, 2004
Missouri Still in Play?
Posted by DavidNYC
Well, well, well - whaddya know? After a slew of polls showing Bush over 50% in Missouri, SUSA pegs him at 49% (likely voters, early September in parens):
Kerry: 47 (46)
Bush: 49 (48)
Other/undecided: 4 (5)
(MoE: ±3.8%)
It's also a one-point fight in the Governor's race, though we are getting smoked in the Senate campaign.
Anyhow, I swear I read somewhere that even though the Kerry campaign isn't spending any more money in MO, the 527s have stepped in big-time. I thought I had read it around a week or two ago in the New York Times, but I have been utterly unable to retrieve it. If you've seen any similar stories anywhere else, kindly post a link.
I think it's important to keep the other side sweating in Missouri so that they can't pull out their resources and funnel them to Florida or Ohio. There are also several important House races in the mix, so staying strong on the ground is essential.
At this point, I'd predict that MO will likely be a very narrow loss for us. However, if Kerry can stay strong in the last two debates and the media narrative is "Wow! This race is close!" rather than, "Kerry is still struggling," then I think Missouri is a definite possibility for us. |
