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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 53.85-4.5%Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: Torben Noerup Nielsen who wrote (679)2/21/2000 11:17:00 AM
From: biowa   of 52153
 
TNN,

Can I suggest something like "<Cato paraphase>" would now be sufficient? You're hogging bandwidth <g>.

Back on thread, if we look at the amplitude of each bio "boomlet" over the last decade, they keep increasing (and yielding on the order of 10-20% annualized peak-to-peak, somebody check the math PLEASE). Therefore with the long-term prospective, IMO the sector will not lose you money at these prices over the long-haul. Individual results will vary.

Therefore IMHO you should choose your exit targets with an eye towards optimizing your cash hoard for the correction, not a fear of losing money in the long-haul. In other words, I may wait for MLNM to get to 600 <g>.

BTW, this is not intended as an endorsement of some of the valuations in this sector - I'm already on record as saying they're fundamentally unsupportable. But sector isn't trading on fundamentals right now and I don't want to sell my shares to some newcomer who resells them 3-5x north of here (I'll only let them have the last 25% <g>).

Isn't it fun to be having this debate rather than, "Why can't biotech get respect?"

biowa
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