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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: A1111 who wrote (71157)9/18/2022 11:07:30 AM
From: E_K_S   of 78673
 
Re: BGS dividend

Management has supported their high dividend since 2019. BGS did come out earlier this year that 2022 earnings would be lower in Q2 & Q3 (due to inflated expenses especially transportation) and would normalize by Q4 2022.

They had rolled over and extended much of their debt in 2020 & 2021 when rates were low. However, were drawing on their credit facility in 2022 as they consolidated some operations, sold off a facility and basically working on making their processing facilities more efficient. This was a pretty big move in restructuring their capital assets mainly from earlier acquisitions in 2018-2021 period.

I am not sure if they enter into long term supply agreements w/ farmers for their produce. What they have been doing the last few years is introducing new family friendly packaged products, getting retailers to commit to more shelf space and coordinating processing/delivery using a more sophisticated ordering system. They consolidated down to one or two main processing/distribution facilities that s/d reduce operating expenses.

These new products are supposed to have higher margins.

I believe the debt roll over was out 4 years (maybe 5) so FCF (w/ efficiencies) must support new debt amount as well as help pay down the revolver.

We will see as there are a lot of moving parts w/ inflation causing higher SG&A. Not sure BGS has much pricing power for their retail products.
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