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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 39.36-0.1%Jan 5 3:59 PM EST

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To: John Patrick who wrote (78778)4/13/1999 4:48:00 PM
From: kash johal  Read Replies (1) of 186894
 
John,

Re: Q2 slowdown

I read the report and generally one can say Q1 was pretty good, considering the lowered expectations.

The Q2 thing is worrying.

Last year was the 1st half of 98 stank due to excess channell inventory by folks like Compaq. This year the channell is not stuffed and they are still forecasting a slight down quarter.

It could be the usual CYA, as the Intel longs will analyze it, but to me it seems that another 5% revenue decline in overall Q2 numbers will be viewed as quite negative. Particularly when you consider how AMD shot themselves in the head with only 4.3M units in Q1. Assuming AMD does better than Q1, the Q2 forecast could be a tad dicey.

Just my humble opinion.

Regards,

Kash Johal.
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