Well.. today´s job figures and other stats also don´t mix very well with a possible recovery.
bloomberg.com
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The economy lost 663,000 jobs in March, bringing losses since the slump began to about 5.1 million, the worst in the postwar era, Labor Department figures showed in Washington. The 8.5 percent jobless rate was consistent with the forecasts of 79 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The Institute of Supply Management’s non-manufacturing index unexpectedly dropped.
“We could continue to see a few more months of really bad employment numbers before it starts to ease,” said Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. Behravesh projected the jobless rate will peak between 10 percent and 10.5 percent in early 2010. “We aren’t there yet, but we are getting closer to a bottom,” he said.
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Service industries, which include banks, insurance companies, restaurants and retailers, cut 358,000 workers after a 366,000 decline in February. Financial firms cut payrolls by 43,000, after a 44,000 decrease the prior month. Retail payrolls decreased by 47,800 after a 50,800 drop.
The ISM’s services index, which covers almost 90 percent of the economy, fell to 40.8, the lowest level of the year, from 41.6 the prior month, according to the Tempe, Arizona-based group. Readings below 50 signal contraction.
The measure was projected to increase to 42, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 67 economists. Estimates ranged from 38 to 45.
Fewer Orders
The ISM index of new orders fell to 38.8 from 40.7 the prior month, and its gauge of employment dropped to 32.3 from 37.3. |
