RT..FWIW... World's largest Netbatsu
Company: Softbank Venture Capital Summary: Early-stage Internet venture capital firm Representative portfolio companies: Webvan, Yahoo! (YHOO), E*Trade (EGRP) Prior investments: GeoCities (acquired by Yahoo!), Firefly (acquired by Microsoft) Cyber-Venture Capitalist: Gary Rieschel, Executive Managing Director
Just four years ago, the name Softbank Venture Capital was largely unknown by most investors outside of Japan, although times have certainly changed for the software distributor. These days, no one can scan the prospectuses of some of today's hottest Internet IPOs without finding Softbank's name on them. After a serious of gutsy moves that were viewed as largely reckless just three years ago, Softbank is now the largest shareholder in Internet powerhouses ranging from Yahoo! (YHOO) to E*Trade (EGRP) and ZDNet (ZDZ). All told, Softbank and its parent company now hold stakes in over 100 Net-related companies such as Webvan (WBVN), Buy.com, E-Loan (EELN), Net2Phone (NTOP) and TheStreet.com (TSCM).
Driven by the vision of Softbank's founder and Chief Executive Officer, Masayoshi Son, the company has attempted to create a keiretsu of synergistic Internet companies, which Son today creatively calls his own "Netbatsu." [Editor's note: the term "keiretsu" refers to the unofficial alliances and "families" that Japanese corporations, especially ones in completely unrelated industries, form to ensure their survival and fend off rivals.]
The task of creating this Netbatsu and Softbank's U.S. venture capital presence fell into the hands of Gary Rieschel, who was personally recruited by Son back in 1995 to start up Softbank Capital. While Rieschel has largely stayed out of the spotlight the past few years, he has been instrumental in initiating a number of the firm's more high-profile investments such as Yahoo! and USWeb (USWB), and has recently established joint Internet ventures with media giants Vivendi and News Corp. (NWS) in Europe. We recently caught up with Rieschel to chat about a variety of Softbank's portfolio companies, as well as his views on some of the Net's future trends.
Cyberstock: What did you think of the Internet back in 1995 when you became involved with Softbank and Softbank Technology Ventures?
Rieschel: I had the sense it was a sea change. I had the sense it was going to be very important, but at that time everyone was saying this could be big, but I don't think anyone - [Jim] Clark (founder of Netscape, Silicon Graphics, and Healtheon) or [John] Doerr (venture capitalist with Kleiner Perkins) - understood how big. At the end of 1995, I had a dream first day for a venture capitalist. I met Yahoo! in the morning and met USWeb in the afternoon. I went home to my wife and said, "I don't understand what's so hard about venture capital." Later, we found out exactly why it's hard. But that was kind of a blessed start.
Cyberstock: That may be the understatement of the decade. I've noticed Microsoft (MSFT) pops up quite frequently with Softbank in a number of overseas deals lately, such as joint ventures with Global Crossing (GBLX) and Tokyo Electric. This is somewhat ironic, since Microsoft's MSN and Yahoo!, one of your portfolio companies, compete directly in the U.S. Is more partnering with Microsoft likely in the future?
Rieschel: I think one of the strengths that the entire group has is organization, broadly defined. I think Softbank is an excellent partnering organization. The distribution heritage of the company means that they've always been business partners with people; the publishing heritage, which means you've always been business partners with people. I think that culture still exists very much in the ventures group, it exists very much in the corporate side, and I think even the late-stage fund has that component. I think the fundamental philosophy is one of influence, not control. I think that goes across the venture group and the corporate side. Now, if you look at what have been the strengths of Softbank, one of the things people tell us - I'm assuming they're not making it up - it's hard to find people who wouldn't work with us again. I think we've done a really good job of making sure we have good relationships with Cisco (CSCO), and good relationships with Microsoft, and good relationships with Oracle (ORCL).
Cyberstock: With everyone, basically.
Rieschel: So when we were going out and first out raising the funds, limited partners would call and say, "I want some reference on Softbank." I would say, "Well, Softbank is the only company in the world you could get an equally good reference from Larry Ellison (CEO of Oracle), Bill Gates, (CEO of Microsoft), John Chambers (CEO of Cisco Systems), and Rupert Murdoch (CEO of News Corp.). They're kind of all tough, tough folks, but Softbank has been able to be a good partner to them. I think that will continue. Now, with Microsoft, I think that the Softbank relationship with Microsoft is extraordinary. It's with Son and Gates, [Steve] Ballmer (President of Microsoft), [Ron] Fisher (Vice Chairman of Softbank Holdings), Greg Maffei (Chief Financial Officer of Microsoft) and myself. There's a group of us that... I wouldn't say we're best friends because I don't think we see each other that much, but there's a lot of respect.
Cyberstock: It's definitely very interesting to watch it unfold.
Rieschel: There's great deal of respect among those teams that are running these organizations. I think Microsoft clearly understands that some of Softbank's investments, such as Yahoo!, could certainly be competitive with some of their properties. On the other hand, CarPoint Japan, which is a joint venture we did, is going to be successful largely because of the traffic that Softbank Japan built with Yahoo! Japan. So I think within Microsoft there is a bit of an awareness that at least in the pure Internet business models - not software distribution, not network access - that there is a need to partner. I'd say that's probably a recent phenomenon. It's probably not ten years old. It's probably within the last two years.
Cyberstock: Let's switch topics a little bit to e-tailer Buy.com. I have trouble grappling with this company and the entire "at cost" e-tailer phenomenon. It seems to me it's a lot of hard e-commerce work in the end to simply drive traffic and build a customer base just to sell banner ads as your profit driver.
Rieschel: Let me tell you how to look at Buy.com. I have to be a little careful, because I don't think they've filed [for an IPO], but they're getting close. If you look at all the companies in e-commerce, look at their net margin. In other words, take the product margin less marketing spent, and you'll find that the only one better than Buy.com is Amazon.com (AMZN), and it's only better by a point. Amazon is running negative 5% net operating margins. Buy.com is probably running negative 6% or negative 7%.
Cyberstock: Is that because Buy.com is outsourcing so much of its business, such as fulfillment?
Rieschel: Well, the reason is that they spend money on advertising, but [not] nearly what Amazon spends. So if you look at the marketing dollars spent by Amazon, it's on the order of hundreds of millions of dollars. The reality is that Buy.com was using the price as a different customer acquisition mechanism. So when you net it out at the end of the day, they are now able to change prices four to six times a day. They can change prices every hour. So they're still driving to the lowest possible price on the Net for their clients. But at the same time, they have the capability to really adjust prices and check elasticity on a daily basis, which I don't think any other company has. So the goal long term, they're not going to be selling all their products at a loss. If you go into Fry's Electronics, a third of the products that are on sale, they're losing money. So I think that there is always going to be the loss leader category. But if you look at their business model in general, you'd say they're going to get to break-even and positive gross margins in the near future.
Cyberstock: Looking at the e-finance space, with investments in portfolio companies like E*Trade, Morningstar, InsWeb (INSW), CyberCash (CYCH), and E-Loan, I can't think of anyone that has been more aggressive in this online finance segment.
Rieschel: Yes, we're going to continue to be very aggressive there. The idea in the first place for Softbank was to strategically go after receiving the eyeballs. Then you want the money. Then you want a piece of every transaction that occurs. So that's kind of at the 100,000-foot level, the strategic progression that is going on. So we're going to continue to be very aggressive in financial services.
Cyberstock: It seems to me that e-finance is one of the ultimate business models tailored for the Web, since you are transferring basically digital bits to complete transactions with customers and not having to ship physical goods.
Rieschel: It clearly lends itself extremely well to the Net. Publishing will as well. Software distribution (also). Anything where you can actually deliver the product as well as just do the transaction, I think will, over time, be very significant.
Cyberstock: What's your thoughts on the MP3 revolution and how this all plays out with the traditional record companies?
Rieschel: I am not what I would say knowledgeable about that. But looking at it from our view, I think it's absolutely the first wave that's going to wind up cutting across the newspaper business; it's going to cut across magazines. It's going to cut across everything, because in the past the artist needed the labels to get the shelf space. That's gone. It's going to happen with movies. I saw a demo this week of someone embedding a full-length motion picture in an e-mail and sending it over their high-speed network, and it took four seconds.
Cyberstock: Wow...
Rieschel: So I think we're right on the verge. Now, movie production is extremely expensive. So that's always going to require extraordinary amounts of cash. I don't think the stars or the individuals can actually fund that. But in music, a guy can rent a studio with a band for five hours and knock out half a dozen tracks. I'll tell you, I think the record labels are in real serious trouble.
Cyberstock: Would it be hard for you to imagine some certain portals or other aggregation and distribution points.
Rieschel: No, it wouldn't be hard to imagine that at all.
Cyberstock: I don't think it would be either, although some people would question that and think I'm crazy when I've suggested that portals could become their own record labels in the future. It seems likely to me down the line.
Rieschel: What will be interesting is when people start taking MP3's to distribute music and using that on playlists and radio stations. If that happens, it's over.
Cyberstock: Looking at e-tailer stocks as a group, they've really been beaten down this year. What do you look for right now when you look to make an investment in an e-tailer?
Rieschel: What we're really doing is that we're taking a really careful study of the distribution system of that particular product set. The reason is... let me use two examples. If you look at books, lots of people write books and lots of people publish. So in the book industry, the idea of having an Ingram Books as a super aggregator actually made a lot of sense. So you can go out and partner with someone like Buy.com. Why do you want to replace Ingram? I think Amazon is making a terrible mistake by building out its fulfillment capability, but time will tell. So in the computer industry, it's the same thing. There are lots and lots of people. The hard thing to replicate in the computer industry is Ingram Micro (IM) or Tech Data (TECD). So what we're doing is saying, in that case what we should do is, we should invest in a very aggressive e-tailer like a Buy.com or a More.com, which is doing the same thing in drugstore products. So More.com did a deal with Bergen Brunswig (BBC), which is one of the two largest wholesaler distributors of drugstore products. So they're doing the same thing - a Buy.com model - by partnering with the largest distributor. What that gave them is 100,000 SKUs from day one.
Cyberstock: So you're saying back an e-tailer that's really just a strong marketing force.
Rieschel: Right. So for some product categories, the marketing play is the right one. Sporting goods is totally different, because there is no super aggregator in sporting goods. So you have to decide one or two things. Either you go directly to manufacturers and aggregate maybe a lifestyle set of products like "adventure sports" and put that together in a retail offering, or you wind up creating individual retail stores. And I think that you might try Global Sports (GSPT), which is a Softbank Capital investment. I think Global Sports is doing one of the super aggregation plays for a category of products, and I think that they might be successful. But that [super aggregator] didn't exist at the time when you're looking at sporting goods today.
Cyberstock: Okay. Time to talk about e-grocer Webvan. Looking at Webvan's model, let's put groceries aside for a moment. Isn't the real end game for this company to become kind of the FedEx (FDX) of e-commerce and the critical "last mile" into the home?
Rieschel: I think that the business model as it's playing out now clearly lends itself. What you need to do is find something that people do every day.
Cyberstock: And you can build a relationship with them.
Rieschel: Exactly. And what that does is gives you the cash and the business to basically build out the distribution infrastructure. But there's no question that I think they potentially could be the largest home delivery vehicle in the world. Part of the reason is that I think FedEx and UPS are really struggling, because I think that they lose money delivering to someone's home. But I think right now, they have to think really hard about it, because if Webvan... and I'm assuming they'll have a very successful public offering. They'll wind up raising.
Cyberstock: Let's say gazillions.
Rieschel: They get established really well in 50 cities, and it's pretty interesting. We've only begun to scratch the surface of what Webvan can do returning from the home. Think about that. That hasn't even been touched. So picking up laundry is one capability, but there's a thousand things to do with that system if it gets established fast enough.
Cyberstock: I've got to say, a Yahoo! on the front end with a Webvan as the back-end fulfillment could be a very enticing combination for investors.
Rieschel: Yes, well, look, we'll have E*Trade and everyone managing your checking. Basically we'll have your money, we'll have your groceries, we'll have everything you need. You just go online.
Cyberstock: In other words, we take care of your life.
Rieschel: Yes, we'll have to steal General Electric's (GE) "We bring good things to life."
Cyberstock: Yup. Sorry, Jack Welch. Looking at Softbank's huge Net portfolio, I really don't find any broadband plays. No cable, satellite, or relationships with RBOCs are readily apparent. That's one thing that kind of sticks out in my mind.
Rieschel: We're starting. You see, what we've done in the past is that we've focused 100% on the services side and not on the infrastructure. SpeedNet in Japan and Global Crossing were the first two big plays in what I call "tier infrastructure." I think you'll see more. We're not going to compete with Qwest (QWST), right? That would be silly. But I think that the idea that we're going to increase the investment in communications services is absolutely going to happen. We're going to get increasingly aggressive about at least structuring broadband relationships for our portfolio companies. Forget what AT&T (T) is doing, which is keeping ExciteAtHome (ATHM) closed.
Cyberstock: Good point. How do you think the entire ExciteAtHome and AT&T ownership and cable access exclusivity mess will play out?
Rieschel: I think they're absolutely shooting themselves in the head, because at this point if I was [C. Michael] Armstrong, (Chairman of AT&T), I'd be thinking, "How do I absolutely maximize the use of my pipe so that other people don't have an incentive?" Instead, he's creating an incentive at a time when there is endless capital to build out competitive products, whether it's optics, whether it's DSL. I think he's put himself in the position where I think that he may have wasted a good piece of this $100 billion he just spent. Somewhere there is a lack of strategic.
Cyberstock: A definite lack of strategic thoughts over at Ma Bell for the moment.
Rieschel: I'm not very impressed with that. But we'll be playing more and more in broadband over the next year or two.
Cyberstock: Thanks again for your time today. That about wraps it up.
Rieschel: Thanks. Bye. |