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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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From: bart1310/24/2007 4:35:56 PM
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Thought for the day:
Hedgies get wedgies... <g>

On a more serious note, someone noted in mail to me that $40 billion in TOMOs (Fed temporary repos) expire tomorrow. I'm not a member of SI and can't respond to mail, so I'll answer publicly.

Thursday is normally the day of the week that the Fed does by far the most one week or more length TOMOs, so it wouldn't be at all surprising to see $40 billion or more accepted in two or three TOMO ops.
Last Thursday there was $28.25 billion accepted and the current TOMO pool is about $10 billion above average at $46 billion... so that would be close to a wash.

If the resulting TOMO pool balance ends up much below $30-32 billion and there's no TIO, it would bias me to the short side and I'd probably look for an entry point to short the S&P via futures.
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