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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: orkrious who wrote (89151)11/24/2007 11:24:47 PM
From: daveinmarinca   of 110194
 
Stuart Staniford's excellent study at <http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3236> shows the path forward. Staniford's 4% depletion number would result in a grinding, prolonged global recession.

However, Matt Simmons weighed in this past Monday in the WSJ with the
following, "Mr. Simmons scoffs at estimates that
production from proven fields will decline only 4.5% a
year. He thinks a more realistic rate of decline is 8%
to 10% a year, especially because modern technology
actually succeeds in depleting fields faster. "

www1.investorvillage.com

IMHO, Simmons 8 to 10% number is more likely and will have a dramatic, accelerating and irreversible impact on the world economy, finances and politics. Watch TOD in the months ahead for Staniford to revise Figure 1 continuing the depletion slide.
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