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Technology Stocks : INTEL TRADER
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To: Jurgen Trautmann who wrote (9034)2/22/2001 8:42:11 AM
From: Gersh Avery   of 11051
 
Wow! I'll try to work my way through this.

Don's class calls are base purely on a system of overbought/oversold. They are short term, covering a period of the following three or four days. Exactly what his system is I have no idea. I do know that the crows are not a part of his "class" calls system. They are a separate observation.

Brokerage downgrades and such .. given the performance of brokerage ratings over the last year, when they are all giving sell ratings may be the best time to buy.

Did the crow cause the analyst or did the analyst cause the crow? I think that most of these folks are f/a in nature. Some are probably involved in manipulating the markets for the benefit of friends and business. I think that (for them) t/a is a small part of the picture.

Greenspan .. many folks are expecting him to step in again and lower interest rates again. However, with the latest numbers, inflation is applying pressure again. Given a choice between saving the stock markets and saving the dollar Greenspan would choose the dollar. With the current set of PPI/CPI numbers it seems logical to me that he would be looking at raising again. I think that the net result will, for the time being, be that he will stay still for a while.

Now then .. if Greenspan does do another surprise cut, this could spring the stock markets here up. For how long is a good question .. Only in 1929 did lowering interest rates not do the trick.

re 25% of the US population in the market .. Soon (three or four years) there will be more people retiring than beginning their retirement savings. There is no way around this.

re safe place for money .. perhaps euro or british bonds?
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