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Strategies & Market Trends : Ultra OTC Fund - UOPIX
UOPIX 125.40-1.7%Dec 31 4:00 PM EST

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To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (974)12/13/2000 2:34:11 PM
From: bob wallace   of 2063
 
Hey Tom,

yes, everyone is somewhat nervous because we never got
"capitulation" - close, but no cigar...

so what I am seeing is techs calling for a rally to 3200 to 3500 (COMPX) and then a retest of the lows

I would also point out that the NDX has two gaps to fill on the breakout from the recent low, and my experience is that it does fill them

the lowest measured low I have seen for the third leg of the NDX bear market is 1919, and that is currently what I am feeding into my scale -

I am considering adding 40% cash to my UOPIX account so that I can double my scales on the way down - that would allow me to "retain" several hundred shares on the way up and thus considerably reduce my average cost - the idea here would be to out flank any extended trading range that might leave me sitting at a loss for extended periods

in the mean time, I guess no one really has a clue about the next twist and turn - to me, today's market simple means that a Bush Presidency has already been priced in and the reality of it doesnt really matter...

the fundamentals are terrible and I think that I expect a lot of backing and filling until such time as the Fed actually cuts rates

Bob
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