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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND)

ASND 216.21

+3.3%

10:53 AM EST

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To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (9816)	8/27/1997 12:32:00 PM
From: Zoltan!	of 61433

No and no. It was the 1936 contest between Roosevelt and Landon and it was not a newspaper but the widely read Literary Digest that produced the telephone poll, which is credited with causing its demise. And it was the Chicago Tribune that ran that (in)famous headline about the 1948 election which you allude to. Election polls have missed the mark even when sampling is correct, for example when voting turnout skews. That was the case in the 1960 Kennedy-Nixon race where heavier than normal turnout of the dead at the last moment gave the Democrats Illinois and Texas and the Presidency. The dead have always voted disproportionately Democrat but the 1960 level could not have been reliably predicted. Regards from a former Northwestern history major

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