<If that's the case, shouldn't you be more worried about Alpha being trounced by Foster, the server version of Willamette?>
No... two different leagues. Since we are both selling futures here, the 21264 comes in different flavors by then and 21364 shouldn't be far behind. Maybe timeframes are off , but an Alpha OEM writes:
"Keep in mind that 1.5 GHz copper-SOI EV68 21264 to be shipped in systems in Q3 2000 will reach around 90 SPECint95 and 150 SPECfp95 when combined with 8 MB 1 GHz DDR-SRAM L3 cache..."
That is a server part. Foster might be decent and will indeed ship in larger numbers, etc. etc... but performance difference will be quite evident.
Itanium is quite an interesting study... what cracks me up totally is Linley Gwennap gets away with Itanium suck-up stuff. Remember these lift-quotes:
linleygroup.com
"We have increased our projections of the chip's SPEC_base performance to 50 int and 80 fp. We expect it to achieve 45,000 tpmC on the TPC-C benchmark in a four-processor system based on Intel's 460GX chip set and Lion motherboard. These scores should give Itanium performance leadership when it is released, but its performance could be surpassed by Compaq's Alpha processors within a matter of months."
Linley isn't even interested in what type or speed Alpha will be shipping when Itanium debuts. I bet his credibility still holds up, but I have a copy of what he has written ... we will see how well it looks come October. By the way, IBM is sampling very fast copper 21264 right now.
"When Merced is in volume, it will outperform non-Intel systems. Merced will outperform Alpha systems." -- John Miner , Intel Enterprise head
Pick your benchmarks and Alphas VERY carefully... whatever you do , don't pick Alphas that are new in the same timeframe as Merced... pick old Alphas and you have a fighting chance.
Now , putting the shoe on the other foot... suppose 1.2 GHz Athlons with on-chip L2 do better than Itanium, who buys Itanium and why?
Itanium -- All dressed up and no place to go.
Rob |