INSS - International Network Services Message Board

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Technology Stocks : INSS - International Network Services

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To: joemjo who wrote (101)	5/13/1997 8:52:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph	of 446

. Here is my new theory. Take the most recent quarterly earnings ($.06) annualize it ($.24) and apply a 100 PE. With 100% being the growth rate. Fair value at 24. So, three months from now they hit expectations of $.07, X's 4 = $.28 price target 28. Next quarter $.09 = 36. Now we are talking another 50% move in six months, not bad. I'm so confident I sell out of the money puts, oh well. Todd, You are making an assumption that the growth rate will be 100% for more than one year. Your price target is based on a PE of 100 due to your assumption. Let's say that INSS gets lots of new contracts and orders but they cannot locate or train qualified consultants quickly enough. The companies needing service will turn to other consulting companies. They cannot wait until INSS gets around to them. Now we have a forced growth rate of less than 100% due to the lack of qualified personnel. CSCO is opening a research and development plant in Israel because they are having difficulty finding good engineers in this country. The good engineers all have jobs so CSCO takes the plant to where engineers are avaiable. INSS does not have that luxury. Glenn

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