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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 296.92+0.1%Dec 1 4:00 PM EST

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To: Pink Minion who wrote (10544)7/11/2003 12:15:17 PM
From: Cary Salsberg   of 95503
 
RE: "I was married to it from 1995-2000 and learned that the hard way."

If I remember correctly, a relative who followed my advice saw $18K invested in 1996 grow to $165K in 2000. Unfortunately, she has retained only about $80-100K, in the crash.

RE: "No way can demand growth match the "doubling of supply (transistors) every 18 months."

Doubling has occurred between every 12 months and the current every 18 months+ since the 1960's. Demand growth has exceeded supply and lower ASPs for a very long time and chip revenues have grown for a very long time.

RE: "Market moves seems senseless to me, thus either I'm an idiot or I need to think like one."

Not an advertisement for a market newsletter or a reason to post to investment message boards.
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