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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host
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To: wooden ships who wrote (1029)7/30/1997 10:47:00 PM
From: Investor2   of 42834
 
Several Items:

1. Lars, where are you????

2. Did you catch the question on Bob's model this weekend (Sunday, I think)? Bob indicated that his current model has been in use since the late 1980s and that the model has never given a sell signal, even during the 1990 downturn. Come to think of it, that shouldn't be surprising, since the '90 downturn was only about 20% (??). Also, the Gulf War couldn't have been predicted by a stock market model.

3. Bob indicated that the three major portions of the valuation module of the model are P/E ratio, interest rates, and inflation. I find it interesting that interest rates and inflation are included in the valuation module. It's logical, but other market mavens generally don't consider these to be related to valuation. Perhaps that's one reason why Bob has been correct on his market calls while others have turned bearish.

4. Where are you, Lars?

Best wishes,

I2
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