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Strategies & Market Trends : YellowLegalPad

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From: John McCarthy7/23/2010 12:58:55 PM
1 Recommendation   of 1182
 
ECRI Leading Indicator Breaches Critical -10 Threshold, Hits -10.5

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/23/2010 10:28 -0500

Rosenberg
If in addition to 85% of the economic data releases in the past month coming below expectations was not enough, the ECRI leading indicator has just came below the critical threshold of -10%, which according to Rosenberg has virtually assured recessions based on data from the past 50 or so years, hitting an annualized rate of -10.5%. And since even the index creators (and Ivy League tenured professors) are openly refuting the adverse implications of their own index (when they, and everyone were praising it when it topped out at 27.80 a year ago), one can be sure this is a rather dramatic data point.

zerohedge.com

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