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Technology Stocks : Nokia Corp. (NOK)
NOK 6.160+1.5%3:59 PM EST

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To: Puck who started this subject8/8/2001 7:17:49 PM
From: Puck  Read Replies (1) of 9255
 
Tero has an especially insightful column at TheStreet.com in which he presents an argument supported with a solid foundation of fact that Nokia's mobile phone profit margins correlate with one thing and one thing only: Nokia's product cycle relative to its competitors, not market share or market growth. He shows Nokia's margins to by cyclical in nature without a long term trend. Tero also observes Nokia's margins are also substantially higher now in a time of slow growth than they were in the mid-90's during the years of the mobile phone industry's most rapid expansion and that the margin peak of Nokia's most recent margin cycle culminating in 1999 surpassed the margin peak of the previous margin cycle culminating in 1994 by a whopping 50%. The only long-term trend discernable in Nokia's financial history is one of ups and downs correlating precisely with Nokia's new product cycles. Any projections of a linear long term margin trend is, in Tero's words, hogwash.

His article is a must read. Once TheStreet.com has made it freely available, I'll post it here.

thestreet.com
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