JASmius IllinoisPatriot
He won't win the Electoral College. His dumb trade wars alone have already cost him Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and maybe even Ohio. That'd be seventy Electoral Votes right there, and his 2016 baseline only has a buffer half that size. (35 EVs). That doesn't take into account how razor-close Florida always is and how Arizona is drifting in the same "blue" direction Nevada went, and what's he doing currently? Viciously and relentlessly attacking John McCain, which Arizonans aren't going to forget. And if even Trump's own campaign is conceding that they're going to lose the popular vote again - almost by definition by a significantly larger margin - then they're as much as admitting that their candidate is doomed, but are terrified of candidly coming out and saying it.
I've long said that the Trumpidency is a four-year GOP hostage crisis. I've yet to see any contrary evidence.
chemical JASmius
I'm originally from Ohio, and the people there have been hit hard by the Trump presidency. GM shuttering that plant and shipping those jobs to Mexico -- after getting a tax cut -- is going to firmly cement that state blue. The people in that area did NOT support Clinton in 2016. It's also worth noting that Trump won Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan on razor thin margins, and those states went blue during the midterms last year (Wisconsin flipped all statewide offices).
IllinoisPatriot chemical • 13 hours ago
Let's not forget that Texas and Tennessee (two historically deep red states - just to name 2) went from 'fat' GOP margins to 'razor-thin' ones in the midterms as 20-30-point margins were pared to single-digits. Those margins may well have further eroded as the Trump/GOP support base dwindles because of tariffs, lack of success on his wall campaign and because of the Republicans proving (once again) they have no intention of making good on their campaign pledges.
We keep hearing about how the GOP is overwhelmingly in support of Trump, but the GOP alone cannot win elections - they need the support of a majority of independent and conservative voters as well - support they likely no longer have.
I DO note that the tone of Trump's tweets continues to get shriller and shriller (more and more desperate) as we move toward 2020 and his edicts continue to fail to move the prosperity and self-respect needles of the country and his lack of completed trade deals demonstrates his utter incompetence and that of everyone that sacrificed their common sense and reputations to support him. |
