[Telco ADSL Dilemma]
Pat,
<< The telcos will certainly need a highspeed solution to compete with each other and with the ISPs---including the MCIs, Sprints and IBMs of the world. >>
As you can see Bell Atlantic and other RBOC's are in a bit of a dilemma with ADSL and each one may approach this solution differently. Another important point, do you see Bell Atlantic trying to offer local service in california? No, too much money to build the infrastructure. That's why you see Bell South use the IBM Global network to offer Ineternet access OUTSIDE of the Bell South area.
GTE is agressive with ADSL trials. They understand the importance of a competitive advantage, BUT at the same time are trying to pass a bill which $$charges ISP's for access (today, ISP's don't pay RBOC's for call completion like long distance companies). Maybe the trick will be in the tarriff that they file.
The AT&T solution "angel" is the 128K fixed wireless solution. They have stated plans of a future 1.5mb speed over time. The KEY issue here will be time for deployment. They are testing in chicago this year with 30,000 folks. If this solution were available today...I believe Bell ATlantic and others would be a little more agressive with ADSL.
The problem is the RBOC's own the copper going to a house,ISP's and others must work with the RBOC's...unless a company has it's own infrastructure (switches & cable in the ground). Some companies do (like MCI) but it's mostly for business.
RBOC competition is coming (from AT&T, MCI & Sprint). They are being forced to offer their networks to the LD carriers for resale. Having said that, I'm not sure how ADSL will be treated by the FCC. Is it a resaleable product or is it "value added" and only a RBOC product.
Once competition is in place...you'll see GTE & the RBOCS offering ADSL much quicker...or else they lose their customers to the long distance companies who will be offering both.
Regards,
Bob |