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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Jim McMannis who wrote (123718)5/17/2008 6:27:29 PM
From: John Chen of 306849
 
"my realtor told me prices never fall in California! ".

Is the "math" playing trick with the people ?

"average price is plunging" ? That's certain good news for
the buyers, so that have money left to spend.

But how is the 'average' calculated.

To make a case simple:

last year 2 sales : 1 million and 100K.

this year 2 sales : 300K, 400K.

what is the 'average' ?

Most likely the average Joe/Jane spend 3x,4x on a 'averag
house', while the speculative 'highend/subprime' STOPPED.

At least Joe/Jane didn't have to go thru subprime to get the
speculator's special price. So it's still a positive trend,
though the 'plunging' effect is not obvious.
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