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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: coachbobknight who wrote (125126)5/24/2008 12:36:34 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
This week could've been the script for the rest of the year. Pretty much everything down, commodities, stocks, bonds, the works.

The dollar is in a trading range between 71-74.5. I think it stays there, unless the Fed starts raising rates (which they won't, at least until the elections).

Margin requirements will come up, but I'm not clear on the time frame for that. The Nymex has been pretty resistant, they're afraid of losing the international business (which they would, at least in energy). But political pressure IS building, eventually they'll hit 50%. Any higher than that and you won't have a functioning futures market.

Ultimately crude prices are gonna depend on the ability for imports to keep the U.S. market supplied. Watch the import figures, I think they're the key.
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