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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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To: rjm2 who wrote (12855)7/26/2001 11:44:53 AM
From: TimbaBear   of 78744
 
rjm2

Regarding tax loss selling....some personal thoughts:

I think it is too early to tell. If there is a significant rally between now and the end of the year, then some tax loss selling might occur, which might only represent the normal retrenchment after a strong run and that would present a buying opportunity.

However, if the market trends sideways into the end of the year, I'm not sure there have been enough profits made elsewhere to necessitate tax loss selling. Additionally, there may be an overhang of tax loss carry-overs from last year that could be used to mediate some of the current years need. Of course, those who made large profits from shorting the market might be the big players that need to protect some of their gains by taking losses to offset....but would they be buying or selling for the tax loss?

Insider selling might currently be being done to get the gain from low-priced option exercise prices protected by losses incurred in other investments.

Timba
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