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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc.

AAPL 278.79

-0.7%

Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: XoFruitCake who wrote (128962)	3/23/2012 4:06:58 AM
From: Road Walker	Read Replies (1) of 213173

I think the current upgrade cycle is two years, in the US driven at least partially by the carrier contracts. I know few people who upgrade every year; I know a lot who upgrade every two years. So Apple has two years or generations to introduce compelling new features and/or form factors. You are right that as the smartphone market matures, this will become more difficult. But we're only 5-6 years into the smartphone category as its known today, so I imagine we have another five years at least before it matures to the point when upgrades are minimal. And then someone will probably come along and make a phone that isn't "as we know it today". Look at the car market. Sure a lot of people buy a car and run it until it won't run anymore. Others buy a new car every two years. It's a mature market but the car makers still find a way to provide new and compelling styles and benefits.

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