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Technology Stocks : Powercosm : Gilder ,Huber-Mills , AMSC , IMG ,... CREE ...?

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To: m2ranger who wrote (10)6/15/2000 6:15:00 PM
From: jhg_in_kc   of 56
 
Here is a brokerage report from the Powercosm conf. DOES ANYONE HAVE ANY FURTHER DETAILS OR SUMMARIES? TIA. JHG
Stephens Inc. Morning Research Notes
June 15, 2000
COMPANIES MENTIONED IN THIS REPORT: PWER
____________________________________________________________________________________
POWER-ONE FYDec. CEPS Prior Est.
PWER ? $79.25
Rating: BUY 99A $0.60
Price Target (12 mo.): $87.00 00E 1.38 NC
Todd Cooper (501) 377-2503 01E 2.05 NC
Report From the Powercosm Conference
? Power-One?s management presented and participated on two panels yesterday at the Powercosm?
Conference in San Diego. The term Powercosm was coined by George Gilder and his associates to
describe the changes occurring in the area of electrical power technology. The changes that are
occurring are truly revolutionary and offer the astute investor the potential for exceptional returns not
unlike those that have been experienced in the communications revolution. Gilder Publishing is
sponsoring the conference and has labeled Power-One as the Cisco (CSCO - $65.19) of the
Powercosm.
? Of note to us was a projection of the growth of the dc/dc converter market for the
telecommunications space that was provided by PWER and endorsed by other industry experts.
Today, it is estimated that the market for telecom dc/dc converters is approximately $1.0 billion. It is
the consensus opinion that this market will grow to $6.0 billion in just three short years.
? This staggering growth of this market segment should positively impact PWER?s two fastest growing
product lines: dc/dc converters and telecom dc power plants.
? Since acquiring International Power Devices (IPD) in January 1999, IPD?s dc/dc converter business
has grown significantly faster than the market. We believe that this trend will continue over the next
three years. In September of last year when we visited PWER?s Mexico manufacturing facility
where the converters are made, the Company had three SMT manufacturing lines. Today, PWER has
in place, or on order, ten SMT lines. Each line is capable or producing between $40 million to $50
million per year in revenue.
? Demand for the telecom dc power plant product lines that were recently added with the acquisitions
of HC Power and Powec should also grow as a result of the anticipated dc/dc converter growth. The
telecom power plants provide the regulated 48 volt dc bus that power the equipment found in telecom
central offices and other telecom installations. This equipment (routers, optical switches, lasers, etc.)
that utilizes distributed power architecture is what is driving the demand for the dc/dc converters. As
the demand for dc/dc converters grows, so too grows the demand for the telecom dc power plants.
We reiterate our BUY recommendation.
Stephens Inc. maintains a market in the common stock of Power-One and may act as principal in these transactions. An
officer/director/employee of Stephens Inc. is a director of Power-One. Stephens Inc. has managed or co-managed an
underwriting within the past three years for Power-One. Affiliates of Stephens Inc. own a substantial percentage of the
outstanding common stock of Power-One.
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