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Technology Stocks : Identix (IDNX)
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To: steve who wrote (13267)4/27/1999 8:35:00 PM
From: David  Read Replies (1) of 26039
 
As usual, an overenthusiastic Westergaard "analysis":

"WBN estimates that for each fingerprint-ID enabled computer that is shipped IDX will receive $50 from sale of hardware and software. Thus, theoretically, if each of the 100 million computers being shipped worldwide were enabled with IDX technology next year, IDX would report sales somewhere in the range of $5 billion."

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If IDX were ever to ship tens of millions of scanners a year, you can bet the cost would be much lower than $50 wholesale. Westergaard should realize that, too, but he used to project Oracle sales based on $1000 per desktop installation . . . and there was no market at that price.

I appreciate the enthusiasm, but there's not much sophistication there. How about also considering a licensing scheme (like Verisign now uses) or even a 'per-click' model? The one thing we can be sure of is that the ubiquitous mass market scanner price won't be $50 wholesale.
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