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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Duncan Baird who started this subject3/9/2001 11:34:11 AM
From: TimF   of 1575706
 
netcog.com

Merrill Lynch

Sour on INTC
Does not regard it as a core holding
Miss reveals INTC dependence on high end
Likes AMD better than INTC
They lower estimates to more realistic levels here also
See AMD as substantially better positioned than INTC in
2001
AMD exposed to problem areas

netcog.com

Dan Niles, Lehman Brothers

Dan on INTC

· Cuts Profit Projections

· FY’01 EPS to $0.70 from $0.80

· FY’02 EPS to $0.80 from $1.10

· Cites weak demand in Asia and Europe

What changed since last year?

· Europe problems in 3Q

· American Ecomony Problems in 4Q

· MSFT Product cycle didn’t kick in

NASDAQ down 39% YTD

INTC down only 27% YTD

INTC could be a good defensive play

Will this end soon?

· INTC has had 3 warnings in last 3 Quarters

· Still has 6x earnings multiple

· Tech multiples still too high

· 2Q could be worse than first

AMD continues to put pressure

Pentium 4 not moving fast enough

INTC needs 300mm which they don’t have

Needs .13 which they don’t have
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