Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
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Sunday, July 22, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) more are undecided.
Romney has a 24-point lead among military veterans.
Check out our review of last week’s key polls to see “What They Told Us.”
Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). See tracking history.
Scott Rasmussen’s weekly newspaper column notes that the Obama campaign attacks on Bain Capital have failed to shake up the presidential race. They “have succeeded in raising some doubts about the challenger, but by highlighting his role as a venture capitalist, the attacks also have reinforced the belief that Romney sees economic growth as his top priority.” By a 62% to 30% margin, voters believe policies that encourage economic growth are more important than policies to ensure economic fairness.
If you’d like Scott to speak to your organization, meeting, or conference, please contact Premiere Speakers.
An analysis of the voters not committed to either candidate shows two distinguishing characteristics: They aren’t impressed with the president, and they aren’t paying much attention to the campaign. Just 29% approve of the president’s performance, while 66% disapprove. Eleven percent (11%) of these uncommitted voters believe the country is heading in the right direction. Only 13% are closely following the campaign.
(Presidential Job Approval Data Below)
A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty percent (50%) at least somewhat disapprove ( see trends).
Just 18% of homeowners expect their home to go up in value over the coming year, while 25% expect the value of their home to go down. Longer-term expectations are among the lowest ever recorded.
Forty-seven percent (47%) believe it is too easy for Americans to get food stamps. Eighteen percent (18%) believe it is too hard. Forty-nine percent (49%) of Americans believe that federal welfare programs actually increase the level of poverty in the United States. Just 20% believe they reduce the level of poverty. Eighty-three percent (83%) favor work requirements for welfare recipients.
The president leads by four in Pennsylvania. The Keystone State is rated as Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.
(Approval Index data below)
Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-one (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -16 ( see trends).
During midterm elections, intensity of support can have a tremendous impact on turnout. That was demonstrated in 2010 when Republicans and unaffiliated voters turned out in large numbers to express opposition to the Obama administration’s policies. However, in presidential election years, there is a smaller impact on turnout.
To get a sense of longer-term Job Approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports also compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.
(More below)
Rasmussen Reports is a media company whose work is followed by millions on a wide variety of platforms. We regularly release our results at RasmussenReports.com, through a daily email newsletter, a nationally syndicated radio news service, an online video service and a weekly newspaper column distributed by Creators Syndicate. A nationally syndicated TV show-- What America Thinks --is scheduled for launch in September 2012.
Our firm has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology ( see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our " unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy." During Election 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama was 53% to 46%. In 2004, Rasmussen Reports was the only firm to project the vote totals for both candidates within half a percentage point. Learn more about the Rasmussen Reports track record over the years. |
