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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It?

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From: calgal7/27/2012 1:51:50 AM
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The Blog
Morning Jay: Why Obama Is in Trouble
6:00 AM, Jul 11, 2012 • By JAY COST



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When you see a new poll, what do you look at first? With the general election campaign nominally underway, most people would say that they look at the head-to-head matchup between President Obama and Mitt Romney.

But I’m still intensely focused on the president’s job approval numbers.

The reason has to do with my view of a presidential campaign when an incumbent is on the ballot. Based on my read of the history and the political science research on the subject, I’ve put together a rough outline of how the average voter makes up his mind. It looks something like this:
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