Zeev's Turnips - No Politics Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (14730)	12/19/2001 10:15:05 PM
From: ajtj99	of 99280

Zeev, this chart worked well earlier this year for the VIX: stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[de][pc20!c200][vc60] When the 20-day EMA crossed the 200-day EMA, the top was in in Janaury and May. During the bubble, it did not work as well: stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[d19990219,20000419][pc20!c200][vc60] We may be in bubble territory, and it may be that some normally reliable indicators may not work as well as before. It is possible also that the VIX cross-over only works during bear market rallies. I have not back tested it enough to know this or not.

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